Why will the price of XRP fall in 2026?
$XRP It’s been a tough year. The token has dropped to approx $1.12is at its lowest level since 2026 year-to-date and is down almost 40% year to date, keeping the psychologically important $1 level uncomfortably close. After starting the year much higher, it has steadily drifted back to these lower levels.
Importantly, this weakness does not appear to be an issue specific to XRP. The slide fits a broader decline in the cryptocurrency space rather than a Ripple-specific catalyst — Bitcoin is down about 30% year to date, and Ethereum is down about 45%. In other words, XRP moves with the market rather than against it. As one analysis put it, the sell-off looks more like a risk-off rotation than a token-specific event.
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How far has the price of XRP fallen, and where have the lows been?
XRP pedigreed Until 2026, it’s been fairly orderly and not just one dramatic collapse. The decline began in January after a brief rise to $2.41. By early February, the price had fallen to around $1.11, then stabilized within a narrow range between $1.27 and $1.67 from mid-February to mid-May before resuming its decline.
This early February drop is close $1.11 – $1.12 It is exactly where XRP is trading today – the lowest level since 2026 YTD that buyers now have to defend, with little technical support between here and the rounded $1.00 mark.
Is XRP at risk of falling below $1.00?
With XRP now holding its lows, the risk of a breakout towards $1.00 is very real – and it’s mostly about momentum, not fundamentals. With the token sitting just above $1, even a modest additional decline sets the threshold in motion, and a further decline in overall cryptocurrency sentiment could pull XRP across support for the round number.
The recent momentum hasn’t helped. XRP is down roughly 20% over the past month, with single-month moves sharper than YTD numbers, suggesting a recent acceleration in the sell-off. Technically, the structure leans cautious: The XRP structure currently favors consolidation with a bearish bias unless the bulls reclaim the general resistance. A clean break of the current low would likely expose XRP to a retest of the $1.00 psychological level, with $0.95 as the next major demand area.
