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Editor’s note: Most investors spend their time making decisions What To buy. Keith Kaplan, CEO of TradeSmith, believes they are ignoring an equally important question: when To buy it. Drawing on decades of historical market data, Keith and his team have identified recurring seasonal patterns that they believe can help investors recognize historically favorable buying and selling windows across thousands of stocks.
In today’s article, he explains how this research led to the TradeSmith Seasonal Strategy, shares some examples, and introduces readers to… An opportunity to explore the tool themselves Before his freedom Breakthrough 2026 The event is on Thursday, July 16 at 10 a.m. ET. During the presentation, Keith will explain the research behind the strategy, discuss the market outlook he closely monitors, and share three free stock recommendations. Try the tool and learn more about Breakthrough 2026 here.
Take it away, Keith…
In June 1944, as the Allies prepared for the invasion of Normandy, their plans hinged on one man, Group Captain James Stagg.
He was telling General Dwight D. Eisenhower: “Don’t do it!”
It turns out he was right.
Everyone knows that Allied forces stormed the beaches on June 6, 1944. But what you may not know is that D-Day was supposed to happen one day earlier – on June 5.
Had Eisenhower ignored Stagg’s warning… and gone ahead with the invasion the day before… the Allies might have failed.
Can one day make such a big difference?
definitely. Because Stagg’s warning concerns the essential element in planning a naval invasion: weather.
You see, Stagg’s path to Allied command was different from that of the more traditional officers in the war room.
He was a meteorologist best known for leading an expedition to the North Pole in 1932. When the war began, he was superintendent of Kew Observatory – the UK’s weather forecasting authority. Headquarters.
Now, Eisenhower was asking Stagg about the most important observations of his career: conditions in the English Channel before the largest amphibious assault in history. Stagg’s network of RAF meteorologists told him that a huge storm was brewing Rolling.
Fortunately for the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, France, and the world, Eisenhower listened to Stagg. The landings took place on June 6, 1944, after the storm had passed. Eleven months later, the Allies were celebrating victory in Europe.
Timing is important for us as investors as well. It’s tempting to leave buying and selling decisions to gut feeling. But in Want SmithLike Stagg, we believe in following the data.
One such signal is what we call “seasonality” – recurring patterns that repeat year after year with remarkable consistency.
I’ll show you how it works today… plus how seasonal trades generated 857% overall growth in an 18-year backtest.
Buy in these “green days”
I didn’t come to TradeSmith from Wall Street. I am a software engineer by training.
So, when my team and I went looking for a feature for investors, we didn’t start by asking what He should Move the arrow. We started by asking what the data actually shows.
We built a program that scans over 5,000 stocks — decades of price history — and asks a simple question. Does this stock behave differently at certain times of the year than others?
The answer, time and time again, was yes.
We’ve found historically reliable windows across thousands of stocks – specific times of the year when they tend to rise or fall.
We call bullish windows “green days.” We built a trading system around it that detects these seasonal patterns with a historical accuracy rate of 83%.
In other words, they showed up about eight out of every 10 years. This is not a guarantee that they will appear again. But it’s a statistical advantage you can use to stack the odds of success in your favor.
Seasonality is nothing new:
- Commodity traders have always tracked planting and harvesting cycles.
- Energy markets move with demand for heating and cooling.
- Gold has long shown seasonal strength linked to jewelery demand and annual buying patterns in India and China.
- Stock investors track seasonal patterns such as the January effect and the Santa Claus rally.
What’s new is that we can now measure this precisely – across thousands of stocks, over decades of data, down to specific days.
Target Company (TGT)For example, it has risen over the same 29-day period — from late June to late July — in 15 consecutive years, gaining an average of 5.2%:
Home Depot Company (High resolution) It did the same between mid-June and late July, rising 93.3% over 15 years, with an average gain of 4.7%:
But a competing home improvement store Lowe Cos Company (a little) The ideal window comes about two months later.
LOW has risen 86.7% of the time from August 10 to September 11 over the past 15 years, with an average return of 6.1%:
Over 18 years, these seasonal trades generated 857% of the total growth — more than doubling the S&P 500 over the same period. Even in 2007, the worst year in testing, the strategy remained ahead.
You don’t have to take my word for it. I asked my team to provide a free trial of our seasonality tool so you can try it out for yourself.
Experience our seasonal program today
You can try our software on the stocks you own This free trial is limited for time.
We make it available before we have it Breakthrough 2026 It happened. It’s all about the seasonal patterns that you should be aware of in this critical year.
That’s why we made a copy of our The seasonality program is available for you to explore now.
We’ve opened up access so you can see the seasonal “green days” of thousands of stocks ahead our Breakthrough 2026 It happened.
You go Thursday, July 16 at 10 a.m. ET.
I’ll walk you through how we discover these patterns, why they persist even in chaotic markets, and how you can use them to guide real-world trading decisions.
Most importantly, I’ll go into detail about the rapidly approaching seasonal patterns that you should be aware of.
Knowing when to open and close your windows is likely more important to your wealth than any decision you’ve made.
The first date you want to circle on your calendar is July 16. If seasonal patterns continue this year, this could open a profitable trading opportunity in one of the most important markets in the market. AI shares.
I hope you’ll join us.
all the best,
Keith Kaplan
CEO, Want Smith
note: Keith has only scratched the surface here. During his period of freedom Breakthrough 2026 The event is on Thursday, July 16 at 10 a.m. ETHe will explain the research behind trading cycles, show how his team identifies recurring seasonal opportunities across thousands of stocks, discuss why he believes the market is approaching an important turning point, and share Three free stock recommendations. Attendance is free, but you must reserve your seat in advance. Click here to register.
