Solana prediction market launch: Can it compete with Polymarket and Kalshi?


World launched on July 1 as an onchain prediction market on Solana (SOL), is live in the Phantom Wallet and uses Chainlink oracles to automatically settle trades in the CASH stablecoin.

Its debut adds a Solana-bred competitor to a sector already led by Polymarket and Kalshi, where volumes have set records.

How the world works inside Phantom

The world operates as a non-custodial protocol rather than a traditional exchange. It routes orders to liquidity providers on Solana and does not hold user funds or manage the markets itself. Traders hold their positions in their own wallets as tokens until they choose to cash out.

Settlement is done through Chainlink’s data streams and operating environment, which feeds prices and resolves outcomes with limited human involvement. Winning positions are automatically exchanged for CASH, Solana’s stablecoin.

in He releasesthe world lists short-term Bitcoin (BTC) contracts and markets up or down in 2026 FIFA World Cup. The debut begins as Solana gets hot.

Solana’s SOL token They rose more than 5% during the day and about 16% during the week, according to BeInCrypto data.

Solana (SOL) price performance.
Solana (SOL) price performance. source: BeInCrypto

The team plans to add sports, politics and macro markets during July.

The world replaces everything in the wallet

The launch is a public unveiling of infrastructure that has been quietly running for weeks. Phantom offered Kalshi-powered markets through the DFlow integration from December 2025. It then switched to World for all open positions on or after June 1.

Under the old system, traders redeem winning positions themselves, while World settles them automatically once the event is over.

This switch is important because Phantom reaches nearly 20 million users, giving the world instant distribution without a separate app. Meanwhile, Kalci remains a formidable competitor and is said to weigh a $40 billion valuation.

Prior to the reveal, the project ran a subtle campaign built around a glowing globe and the slogan “Trade Everything.” She even told followers that “there is no product.”

“Prediction markets are one of the most powerful applications you can build on a high-performance blockchain,” said Pedro Miranda, Head of Consumer at Solana Foundation, in announcing the launch. “The world is designed to showcase what makes Solana possible: real-time markets, onchain settlement, and a user experience that meets people where they are.”

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Can the world beat Polymarket and Kalshi?

Their occupants hold trenches that the world did not build. Polymarket proved the model in 2024, when it surpassed $3 billion Traded In its US presidential market. It has since expanded into Solana by integrating with Jupiter in February, vying for the same turf that the world is now clamoring for.

Their regulatory paths vary sharply. Kalshi is a US regulated exchange and has beaten the CFTC in court In 2024 to include electoral contracts. Polymarket took the opposite route, paying $1.4 million That’s enough for you A penalty in 2022 has forced her off the beach for years.

The world avoids both, operating as a permissionless onchain protocol with no license and no gatekeeper.

This freedom has two paths. The non-custodial model removes the middlemen, but it also ignores the oversight and protections that anchor a regulated place like Calci.

The world has not published figures on volume or liquidity, so its trading power remains unproven. Prediction markets reward deep books, which produce tighter spreads and more stable prices. Distribution can attract users quickly, but that kind of depth takes time to build.

Sector momentum continues to help Open market interest forecast Reaching a record high of $1.48 billion in June.

An unaffiliated memecoin using the global name has sparked speculation on Pump.fun, though the team has confirmed there is no connection to it.

Open market interest forecast. Source: X/a16z encryption
Open market interest forecast. source:X/a16z encryption

The global state is based on real-time on-chain distribution and settlement, not on a fixed scale. The World Cup becomes the first real test of whether the built-in access inside the Phantom will turn into lasting fluidity.

this post Solana prediction market launch: Can it compete with Polymarket and Kalshi? appeared first on BeInCrypto.





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