The next lower bound for Bitcoin’s price could be much higher than most investors expect, according to Alexandre Lazette, board director at Capital B, one of Europe’s leading Bitcoin treasury companies.
Laizet points to one specific catalyst: digital credit, a new category of listed instruments backed by bitcoin that he says is quietly reshaping demand for the asset.
Why digital credit matters
“There is three times more demand for Bitcoin in the market than the normal supply of Bitcoin mining.” Lazette said He described digital credit as products that give major Wall Street investors access to exposure to Bitcoin through double-digit returns with less than 5 to 10 percent volatility.
He says the addressable market is huge, covering both real estate and stock indices. “Why invest in the S&P 500 if the S&P 500 is performing 10 to 15 percent with 10 to 15 percent volatility,” he said, while digital credit offers similar upside with a fraction of the volatility.
This demand is already evident in corporate purchases, he said. The strategy alone has bought more than 200,000 additional bitcoins in a matter of months this year, Lysette said, describing it as part of a broader wave of institutional accumulation.
Read historical lows
Laizet explained Bitcoin’s pattern of higher declines across cycles. Bitcoin’s minimum price rose from $200 to $15,000, and is now closer to $50,000 to $60,000. “Maybe four to eight years from now, we’ll be talking about the next bottom for Bitcoin at $300,000, $800,000, $1 million,” he said.
He was careful to frame this as pattern recognition, not prophecy. “It’s not science,” he said. “I’m just talking about past performance. Nobody has a crystal ball.”
Acknowledgment of the bear case
Lysette did not rule out the bearish scenario. “The risk for everyone who owns bitcoin is that bitcoin goes down 80% every year and doesn’t move for a decade,” he said, calling that an honest worst case, even as he maintained his conviction that bitcoin remains the strongest long-term store of value.
Capital B’s own ambitions reflect this conviction. The company is targeting 210,000 bitcoins, or 1% of the total supply, by 2033, and recently raised €15 million with capacity for another €99 million, money that Laizet said is being funneled directly into digital credit products.
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