Bitcoin rises despite CPI rise in 22 months – what do markets see?


the Bitcoin price The markets surprised the markets with a sharp upward move, reclaiming key resistance levels and pushing towards the $73,000 area, even as the US CPI hit a 22-month high. The reaction has surprised many, as higher inflation usually signals tightening financial conditions and negative pressure on risky assets.

Instead, Bitcoin rose — tracking strength across US stocks and risk markets — raising a crucial question: Why do markets rise on data that looks bearish?

CPI comes in hot – but markets look ahead

The latest US CPI came in at around 3.5% y/y (vs. 3.4% expected, 3.2% previously), the highest level in nearly two years. Core inflation also remained high, reinforcing concerns that price pressures are not abating quickly enough.

Under normal circumstances, this would strengthen the case for a hawkish Fed, delaying interest rate cuts and tightening liquidity — which is typically bearish for risky assets like Bitcoin.

However, the markets reacted differently.

With traders already cautious ahead of the release, the data failed to spark a new downtrend. Instead, it served as a catalyst for repositioning, allowing Bitcoin and stocks to rise as uncertainty passed.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Recovering High Range, Eye on a Breakout

Bitcoin has reclaimed the high range between $70,000 and $72,000, pushing it towards the upper border of the consolidation zone that has capped the price over the past few weeks. This level previously served as resistance and is now being tested as support, indicating a possible attempt at a range breakout. The recent move from the $65K liquidity area shows strong buyer interest, as the price forms higher lows and builds gradual upward pressure.

BTC priceBTC price

Momentum indicators support this move. The RSI is trending above 60, indicating strengthening upward momentum, while the CMF has turned slightly positive, indicating steady capital flows. However, the price is now approaching a major resistance area near $75,000, which is in line with previous rejection levels. A clear break above this level could open the way towards $78,000 to $80,000, while failure to sustain beyond $70,000 to $72,000 risks a pullback towards $65,000 support.

What’s next for Bitcoin price?

Bitcoin’s move highlights a key principle that it reacts to liquidity but not to headlines. Although the CPI rose, selling pressures failed to follow through. Buyers intervened at key levels, thus the price broke above the crucial resistance level. This indicates that the market was poorly positioned for an uptrend, giving way to a squeeze with shorts trapped and momentum reversing.

It’s no longer about CPI, it’s about tracking. If the price continues above the support range between $70,000 to $72,000, the price is likely to continue at $75,000. While failure may lead to a pullback and force the BTC price to remain consolidated.

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