Why VELVET Coin’s 12% drop could be the start of a bullish setup


Velvet (VELVET) is down 12% over the past day at press time, as increasing seller pressure drives the token lower. This decline has led to a drain of capital across the market. In the perpetual futures market, traders withdrew $8.76 million, of which approximately $688,940 was tied to liquidated positions.

What comes next may not be the additional chip many expect. The fractal patterns instead point to roughly another two weeks of consolidation before the VELVET makes a significant rally or steeper decline.

The VELVET decline reflects the June fractal

Chart analysis shows that VELVET stock’s recent decline reflects a pattern that first formed between June 10 and June 12, when the price swung sharply in both directions before settling into a 13-day consolidation zone.

A similar setup preceded the last move, a rally that lasted from June 26 to July 2, after which the price entered a three-day consolidation period that is still ongoing now.

VELVET price chart. VELVET price chart.
Source: Trading View

If the pattern repeats, velvet Trading within that channel can continue for another 11 days, a period of approximately two weeks that may pass without noticeable gains or losses.

There are two levels framing this outlook, resistance at $0.577 above and support at $0.417 below. A decisive close above $0.577 would turn the symbol bullish, while a close below $0.417 would tip it lower.

Indicators are tilting the price towards an upward breakout

The setup still leaves room for an extended run within the range, although traders are leaning slightly towards the upside given the current VELVET position.

At the time of analysis, the blue line tracking Aroon Down continued to slide, while the orange line tracking Aroon Up was steadily climbing.

VELVET technical indicator chart. VELVET technical indicator chart.
Source: Trading View

If both lines maintain their current path, an upward breakout becomes the most likely outcome. If it flattens and moves sideways, the VELVET will likely remain range bound.

Trading volume has reinforced this trend, leaning more towards an extended uptrend than towards consolidation or a new decline.

Trader sentiment is steady

Interest in VELVET across the trading community remains high.

Currently, 74% of traders vote to the upside, down from the peak of 88% seen the previous day. While the majority remain solidly bullish, the decline indicates calming conviction.

New traders have also entered as actual holders rather than short-term speculators. The number of token holders on CoinMarketCap rose to a new high over the past day, even as VELVET recorded a new low for the price.


Final summary

  • VELVET stock fell 12% as sellers took control, draining $8.76 million from the perpetual futures market in a single day.
  • Fractal patterns indicate about two more weeks of consolidation, and with most traders still bullish and holder numbers at a new high, the slide looks more like a pause than a reversal.



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