Analysts have previously argued that XRP needs to reach at least $10 to achieve the returns most retail holders expect. This goal can be achieved but only if a specific set of conditions are aligned at the same time, says Jake Claver, a digital asset analyst whose clients hold significant positions in XRP.
The $10 goal and what it requires
The clavier was open About the necessary conditions. $10 XRP is not the hypothetical outcome. It is the result of a perfect storm, and several events must occur in sequence for that perfect storm to occur.
The most important part is the law of clarity. Claver argued that the legislation is not only important for cryptocurrency sentiment. It is structurally critical to the global financial system. Its logic is specific and largely absent from mainstream coverage.
When the yen carry trade eventually ends, a large amount of US Treasury bonds will hit the market as Japanese and other foreign investors sell US bonds to buy domestic assets. The United States needs domestic demand to absorb these Treasuries without destabilizing the bond market.
Stablecoins, which under the GENIUS Act framework are to be backed by US Treasuries, represent this domestic demand. Without regulation of stablecoins, banks would not be in a position to issue them on a large scale, and without that scale, the safety net of the bond market would not exist.
“If stablecoin regulations are not strengthened, banks will not be in a position to do so,” Claver said. “Stablecoins are a domestic demand to stabilize the bond market and ensure that the entire global financial system does not collapse.”
In this context, the CLARITY Act and the GENIUS Act are not just a regulation of cryptocurrencies. It is a systemic financial infrastructure, and its passage opens up the conditions under which the cross-border settlement tool provided by Ripple (XRP) becomes institutionally indispensable.
Where does XRP stand now?
XRP briefly touched the $1.00 level this week before recovering slightly, being about 70% below its all-time high. Claver described current prices as a buying opportunity.
$10
None of these things are guaranteed. But Claver believes these risks are more likely than not to happen before this cycle is over, and that investors positioned now will be the ones who stand to benefit the most when they do.
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