Currently, the price is approaching the key liquidity/sell rebalancing area between 4620 – 4670, where the smart money is likely to distribute positions again. This area corresponds to EMA resistance, previous supply and market structure, making it an area with a high probability of bearish continuation.
🔴Basic scenario (high probability):
Relief bounce → buyers trap → rejection → continuation of downtrend
If the price fails to break and hold above this area, we can expect a continuation towards the 4500 liquidity area and possibly lower levels.
🟡 Alternative scenario:
If the price breaks its structure and continues above the sell zone, a short-term upward movement or a deeper correction may develop.
⚠️ Important information about trading:
This is not a buy zone – it is a decision zone and a trap.
Most retail traders will chase the bounce, while experienced traders wait for confirmation and trade with the prevailing trend.
This analysis is based on price action, liquidity concepts, smart money behavior, and trend structure, with an emphasis on high-probability setups rather than emotional entries.
🎯 Key levels
Sales area: 4620 – 4670
Current reaction zone: 4500 – 4550
Downside target: 4500 → Potential liquidity sweep below
