Iran proposes to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to end the American war

Iran has put forward a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, linked to ending the war with the United States, according to sources. The market is lifting for Trump’s announcement of the blockade by May 31 56% Yes, down from 72% yesterday.

This proposal separates the maritime crisis from the nuclear talks, which could give the United States room to maneuver without immediately addressing Iran’s nuclear ambitions. Sub-market Solution May 31 It fell by 16 points in one day, indicating that traders are re-pricing the possibility of a diplomatic solution.

market for Hold a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30 stays at 1% Yes. With only six days remaining, the odds do not reflect any substantive signs of clash between the two sides.

The daily USDC trading volume in the blockade market is $95,253, with $8,975 needed to move the price by 5 pips. This is real liquidity. The biggest recent move was a 5-point rise, indicating that traders are still processing the Iranian proposal. The Diplomatic Meetings market trades at just $613 per day, meaning any real news could easily change the odds.

The Iranian proposal attempts to separate the nuclear issue from the maritime crisis, which puts pressure on the United States to respond separately. in 56%the YES stake pays $1 if Trump lifts the blockade by May 31, which equates to a return of approximately 1.8 times. For this bet to pay off, the proposal must gain rapid acceptance.

Watch Trump’s Situation Room meeting today and any subsequent statements. White House endorsement or military modification could quickly change the odds.

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