Capital becomes selective – construction work


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While the distractions continue, this week pointed to tangible shifts rather than narrative hype. The airport’s net income moved towards break-even as emissions fell in line with revenue, while USDai’s TVL showed gradual growth. Meanwhile, token assets have continued to expand across credit, Treasuries, and commodities, while new trading infrastructure, from ultra-low latency (Fogo) chains to perpetual stocks, has moved closer to traditional market benchmarks.

Indicators

Markets have trended towards risk aversion over the past week, with dispersion widening across traditional and digital assets. BTC fell (-2.3%) while the Nasdaq 100 (-2.1%) and S&P 500 (-0.7%) also closed lower, reflecting a softening risk backdrop. Gold (+2.3%) has emerged as one of the few macro-hedging offerings, indicating an increasing rotation towards defensives as positions reset at the end of the year.

Cryptocurrency sector indicators tell a clearer story. On the upside, Memecoins (+16.0%) and L2s (+9.7%) dominated the weekly gains, indicating short-term speculative flows and showing renewed optimism around expanding narratives and higher beta players. AI (+1.3%), lending (+1.0%), and the Ethereum ecosystem (+0.9%) also managed modest green prints. In contrast, weakness was evident across the Solana ecosystem (-10.5%), DePIN (-7.1%), RWAs (-7.0%), and cryptocurrency miners (-5.4%), underscoring pressure on themes with structural leverage or heavy capex. Launchpads (-2.3%) and DEXs (-2.8%) also lagged as volumes declined.

While the L2 sector outperformed this week, the dispersion was noticeable under the hood. Merle He was the best, rising higher at the weekend and finishing well north of his peers. MNT It also saw strong relative strength, rising steadily and maintaining gains even as the rest of the complex cut sideways. Both OP and ARB moved close to the index average, posting modest gains but failing to show the same upward convexity. At the late end, BLAST remained a clear underperformer, trending lower throughout the week.

Charts for the week

The airport’s weekly net income (protocol revenues minus nominal emissions) is Transition From a long period of heavy losses to near break-even and occasional profitability. Throughout most of 2024, emissions materially outpaced revenues, with weekly net losses reaching as much as $20 million at their lows, reflecting strong liquidity incentives. However, starting in early 2025, losses narrowed sharply as emissions fell and revenues stabilized, with recent weeks hovering around zero and turning modestly positive at times. This shift supports the view that airport unit economics are improving, with protocol revenues now broadly keeping pace with emissions for the first sustained period since launch.

USDai’s TVL path reflects a classic step function adoption curve consistent with institutional balance sheet deployment rather than organic retail flows. The value of TVL accelerated sharply in September as several large capital allocations entered the system. Discrete hops refer to chip-based deployments tied to pre-defined authorizations. TVL stabilizing above ~$550 million in November indicates capital stickiness and low redemption pressure, reinforcing the view that USDai acts as a balance sheet instrument rather than a pure trading vehicle.

Tokenization has evolved from a niche experience into a strategic priority for global financial institutions. Today’s token asset market consists of $300 billion in stablecoins, $17.4 billion in private credit, $8.2 billion in US government debt, $2.3 billion in commodities, and $1.4 billion in public equities. Estimates confirm the magnitude of this transformation. A report by BCG and ADDX predicts that up to $16 trillion in real assets could be tokenized by 2030, including public stocks, private markets, real estate, and debt instruments. Likewise, Citi expects $4-5 trillion in tokenized digital securities and an additional $5 trillion in tokenized trade finance volume over the same period.

Fogo It features industry-leading block times of 40 ms and a finality of approximately 1 second, providing materially faster execution than Solana’s 400 ms blocks and far superior responsiveness compared to Ethereum’s multi-minute finality. While Hyperliquid and Solana score higher peak TPS numbers on paper, Fogo’s combination of ultra-low latency and sub-second finality brings it closer to traditional financial market infrastructure, strengthening its thesis as an institutional-grade trading chain rather than a large-scale L1 consumer.

Outside of the root, the top nine subnetworks currently contain approximately 44% of the total networks Bet TAO via subgrids and received 37.4% of TAO emissions. This concentration has steadily declined from a peak of ~52% in May 2025 as more TAO flows into smaller or emerging subnetworks. This trend indicates a gradual expansion of participation and a healthier share distribution over time.


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